Traders and investors are always interested to know where the markets are heading. News, which is a big driver for the markets, can help such traders and investors. By keeping a tab on news flow, they can measure temperature of the market, identify patterns and form their strategies. However, vast amount of today’s information is making it increasingly difficult to monitor relevant news items and assess its positive/ negative impact on the market.
To address this problem, Heckyl has introduced Sentiment Index for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), a benchmark index for the 30 most significant companies in the US. Heckyl Sentiment index distills massive amounts of news data into a broad reading of collective sentiment for DJIA index. Traders and investors can use Heckyl Sentiment index as a directional signal to figure out whether they should go long or short on the US markets.
Both bear and bull markets offer tremendous opportunities to make money. The key to success is finding a stock which can generate profits under a variety of conditions. However, identifying such stocks is easier said than done. Limited research coverage and lack of actionable information on companies make it difficult to spot multibagger stocks. At the same time, it also impacts price discovery for majority of stocks.
Post demonetization of higher value currency notes on November 8, the Indian banks witnessed a huge inflow of cash. So far banks have received deposits worth over Rs 12.4 lakh crores in scraped currency notes. A sudden spurt in cash levels has led to excess liquidity in the banking system. It has also forced the banks to park excess liquidity in safe haven government bonds. However, a large portion of cash deposits is expected to be pulled out from banks in the near-term. But despite expected cash withdrawals, liquidity in the banking system is set to improve in medium to long-term.
Improvement in liquidity will force banks to ease interest rates. At the same time, it will also push banks to accelerate lending operations. However, conventional methods (word of mouth, reading newspapers, cold-calls and referrals) to augment lending are no longer relevant in the today’s digital world. Hence, banks will have to explore new and smart ways to reach out to the prospective clients. Read the rest of this entry »
Indian banks tend to take on more risks during an upturn in credit growth while non-performing loans (NPLs) of private banks are more reactive to changes in interest rates, according to the recent RBI working paper. The report highlighted a one percent increase in loan growth leads to a 4.3 percent rise in NPLs over total advances (NPL ratio) in the long run.
Post demonetization of higher currency notes, banks have received whopping Rs 12.4 lakh crore in cash deposits. Some portion of these cash deposits is expected to remain with banks, which will improve liquidity in the system. It will enable banks to ease interest rates and boost lending operations.
In trade deals, customers and sellers have conflicting objectives. Every seller wishes to get paid immediately. On the other hand, customer wants longer credit period. In such situations, bill discounting can help both the parties. The product/ services provider can get money instantly from bank/ financial institution after making payment of discounting charges. Then the seller can offer credit period to customer. And on due date, the bank can collect the payment from the customer. It is win-win situation for both customer and seller.
Commodities trading in India has a very rich history. In fact the first organized futures market that was set up in India was for a commodity – Bombay Cotton Trade Association. Since then, trading in commodities has always been the preserve of big traders, commodity powerhouses and institutional investors.
The advent of electronic trading in commodities in India in December 2003 has opened the field for more participation into the markets. However, the commodities segment in India still lags the equities segment in terms of adoption of technology for building advanced and informative trading platforms. Most of the prevalent commodities trading platforms in India still offer only basic features such as buying – selling, watchlist and charts. Read the rest of this entry »
Commodities are driven by demand and supply, which provides a basis for determining price directions. As commodities don’t have to deal with subjective issues like financial performance, management quality etc., they move with their respective business cycles. Commodities are broadly classified into agricultural commodities, metals and energy. Within these broad classifications, each commodity can exhibit its own trend based on respective business cycles.
[Image 1] Read the rest of this entry »
Perpetually exploding data has called for a technological change in the way a business operates and made it imperative for a business to keep up with the change to be a part of the ever-challenging race. Over the past two decades, technology has slowly and steadily made its presence and importance felt across business processes. In order to realize the true value that technology can bring to your business, it is important to understand which processes can be automated in the first place. Read the rest of this entry »
Calendar spread trading in commodity futures market has traditionally been executed by professional traders. However, anyone can carry out such trading strategy by understanding how to implement it in real market conditions.
Calendar spread is a futures spread between two months (For e.g. November 2016 and February 2017) in the same market (For e.g. MCX Silver Mini). One can calculate spread by subtracting near month’s contract price from next month’s contract price. Read the rest of this entry »
The journey of successful investing starts with selection of quality and growth oriented stocks. At the same time, picking such stocks at fair valuation is also important. Moreover, periodic performance review and rebalancing of portfolio to fix any weaknesses is key to achieve investment goals.
Heckyl Technologies, a leading news sentiment and market data analytics firm, has conducted a study to highlight how a trader can use sentiment scores to predict impending stock price movement. We have analyzed news sentiment data for 246 Canadian companies listed on Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) from January 2016 to July 2016. On numerous occasions, our sentiment score has acted as a leading indicator for the share price movement of 213 companies or 87% of the total sample size.
Read the rest of this entry »
Finding actionable information ahead of others is getting tougher with each passing day. Today, the market captures new information at incredibly high speed. As a result, new updates get factored in stock prices almost instantly, leaving little or no scope for individual traders to tap the opportunities. So how can a trader spot new opportunities in a fast paced markets? Is there any way out?
Image Posted on Updated on
For an investor, buying quality and growth oriented stocks at fair price points is a key for making money in the market. But with so many options, selecting such stocks can be an uphill task for individual investor. Moreover, going through each and every income statement and balance sheet to identify fundamentally strong companies within the sector is a daunting task.
Understanding this need, Heckyl launched Peers screen to help investors distinguish between good and bad companies within any industry. Peers screen measures the performance of each company within the sector on three key parameters – quality (assess balance sheet strength), growth (how the company has grown over the years) and value (spot stocks with cheap or expensive valuations).
Are you interested in derivatives trading but don’t know how to start and make money from it? Heckyl is the right place for beginners and experienced traders to kick start their trading in futures. We will explain you how you can spot profit making opportunities in real-time.
The internal market data is key to grab opportunities in futures. So first you need to monitor open interest (OI), price and volume of a stock or an index contract. Second, you need to understand and interpret this data to confirm price trend. Third, when you are sure of bullish or bearish price signals, you can initiate long or short strategy in the specific futures contract. Fourth and most important thing is a discipline approach for profitable trade.
Euronext has recently launched the new Market Data App in partnership with Heckyl Technologies. This app is a free and easy way for investors to have all the necessary data with the click of a button. The app has additional features such as a Sentiment Analysis, Trending News and Broker Connectivity. Mike Bourne, Head of Business Development Market Data, the gong along with Gustav Pegers, Head of Sales of Heckyl Technologies. Read the rest of this entry »
Gold, one of the top performing assets so far in 2016, has attracted a lot of attention. Turmoil in the equity markets and oil price crash have not only made investors jittery, but also forced many of them to invest in safe haven assets such as gold. As a result, billions of dollars of new money poured into physically backed gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs). In fact, fund inflows in the world’s largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold alone crossed more than $7 billion since December 2015, while gold holdings of ETFs have jumped to their highest level in 27-months. Read the rest of this entry »
Non-performing assets (NPAs) or loans that are not being paid back by the borrowers have consistently been a cause of concern for the Indian banking industry over the last few years. Soaring NPAs are not only curtailing banks’ growth and lending operations, but also causing slowdown in the economy. Sensing the problem, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has increased surveillance in 2014 to detect concealed bad loans. As a part of surveillance, the central bank asked banks to report all loan accounts where interest is not being paid in time. After analyzing data for three to four quarters, the central bank realized how bad the asset quality problem is. The RBI then asked banks to recognize large loan accounts where interest is delayed routinely as NPAs.
To succeed in today’s stock market, one must have access to new information that can move the markets higher or lower. At the same time, getting such price sensitive information in time is also important to stay ahead of others. In the last 10-years, we have seen massive explosion in the amount of information that is available on the internet. However, the huge amount of information is making it increasingly difficult for traders and investors to find price sensitive news in time.
In this scenario, if you have a system to swiftly mine the big data and filter noise from information, then you can find and exploit opportunities. Previously, such intelligent systems were mainly available to large institutions and big investors. Read the rest of this entry »
The age-old battle of between fundamental and technical analysis will always continue. Both methods of analyzing a stock are powerful and have their own strengths and weaknesses. However, in the stock market, prices are largely driven by the new information. The market participants assess the new information and analyse its potential positive or negative impact on the stock. Based on their perception of new information, they take buy or sell positions in the market.
Making money in the stock market starts with finding a fundamentally strong company. Searching for a good company from thousands of listed companies is a challenging task. The huge amount of data on the internet doesn’t make things any easier. Moreover, segregating actionable information from huge stacks of data is also difficult. Read the rest of this entry »
Whether the stock market is in bullish phase or in correction mode, there are ample opportunities for investors to make money. Finding such opportunity is easier said than done, especially in the absence of analyst coverage or actionable information on your fingertips.
We highlighted – via a series of posts on Credit Risk Management (Read the previous blog – “Soaring Non-Performing Assets: The Paramount Problem“) – the ever-growing challenge of credit risk in financial institutions, the benefits of real-time analytics and the way in which Heckyl’s unique capabilities can be used to decipher credit risk management puzzle. We bring to you the third post, from the series.
Heckyl believes there is a lot more that can be done in the credit risk space in the financial institutions. It is no secret anymore that be it the banks or the non-banking financial companies (NBFC), the wrath of the non-performing assets has spared none. Although, these financial institutions have their existing risk models in place, the important question remains, that is, are they able to comprehensively highlight the impending crisis ahead of time? Read the rest of this entry »
The aviation sector, after years of underperformance, has been bullish of late as evidenced by the turnaround of Spicejet’s fortunes and a strong response for the Indigo IPO. This turnaround has led to a lot more interest in the aviation sector in recent times. In this article, let us understand how operational factors affect the bottom-line of an airline and the use of open datasets to estimate these factors. An airline’s operational factors can help us understand which airline uses its fleet efficiently, which airline has an optimal route network or which airline’s fleet is optimized for fuel efficiency.
PCR OI and PCR Volume, combined with a detailed actual volume study can be one of the most profitable strategies employed. This can be used to understand where a combination of three different indicators can be used to accurately predict the movements in the short-term.
As well as providing key insights into how to use the numerous Heckyl data sets and tools to understand key economic and market driving events, this blog also provides us with an opportunity to keep you up to date with key business development updates.
Our Indian office continues to expand rapidly, as new colleagues come on board to service more clients, as well as develop new business lines and expand our extensive big data capabilities. In our London office we have also been busy on a number of fronts.
We highlight – via a series of posts on Credit Risk Management (Read the previous blog – “Credit Risk – Under The Spotlight“) – the ever-growing challenge of credit risk in financial institutions, the benefits of real-time analytics and the wave of change that can be brought about with Heckyl’s unique capabilities. We bring to you the second post, from the series.
Global financial catastrophes and consequent losses at several banks have compelled risk management systems at banks to get more focused on Credit Risk. The lack of an efficient system in place that can help the banks to efficiently identify the underlying causes of rising NPA figures has begun to reflect negatively on their performance. A high level of bad loans is indicative of a large number of loan defaults that directly affects the profitability and net worth of banks. This in turn necessitates larger provisioning requirements to provide a cushion against loan losses, thus reducing overall profits and shareholders value. While banks have been successful in identifying the need of the hour, they seem unable to exactly place their finger on what will address the problem.
We highlight – via a series of posts on Credit Risk Management (Read the prelude – “Risk Management : How Can we Help You?“) – the ever-growing challenge of credit risk in financial institutions, the benefits of real-time analytics and the wave of change that can be brought about with Heckyl’s unique capabilities. We bring to you the first post, from the series.
Exposure to the probability of default by their debtors, also called as Credit Risk, is the major risk the global banking system is facing today. In the current volatile market condition, where Indian companies are confronted with issues like demand slowdown, unfinished projects set up at inflated costs, lengthening working capital cycle squeezing cash flows, it is not uncommon for an institution to default on payments. This leads to huge non-performing loans sitting on the banks’ balance sheets.
After successful triumphs over US and UK in the last decade bears are back in business in 2015 and this time they have laid their eyes on the world’s fastest growing economy China. It has been fueling the global economic growth for past several years and any slowdown will have repercussions not only on world markets but also on major asset classes.
In order to gauge a country’s economic performance, one can look at key economic parameters like Money market (Interest Rate), Economic growth (GDP Growth Rate), Business performance (Industrial Production), Consumer confidence (Retail Sales), Trade analysis (Exports), Housing sector (Newly Built Home Prices), Investment (Capital Flows), Government reserves (Foreign Exchange Reserves) and finally Equity markets (Shanghai). Let us understand how China’s financial and economic indicators are performing in the current scenario.
We have continuously flagged “15-Minutes Built Up Screen” in our F&O product as one of the most important screens for devising profitable trading strategies. For every stock, this screen gives a snapshot every 15 minutes for the open interest (OI) and a breakup of fresh and square-off contracts along with volumes.
We highlight a very important feature of Heckyl F&O platform: 15-Minutes Built Up Screen in today’s blog. For every stock, this screen gives a snapshot every 15 minutes for the open interest (OI) and a breakup of fresh and square-off contracts along with volumes.
While there are various use-cases for the 15-minutes built up screen, we highlight the short selling use case in this blog. Short selling implies selling a stock on a particular day and buying the same on the next trading day. The underlying reason for short selling is that the trader expects the stock price to go down. An equivalent of short selling can be buying a put of an appropriate strike price.
With low inflation and falling inflation expectations, the Federal Reserve is believed to execute a rate hike this year. The funds rate is the mechanism the Fed uses to regulate short-term interest rates in the economy, which in turn moves across the yield curve.
The Fed has two objectives: stable prices and firm economic growth. The Central banks stimulate the economy by cutting rates when the economy is slowing down. While lower rates can bring economic growth, they mostly come with an inevitable consequence: Inflation. Read the rest of this entry »
As a company Heckyl is known for its big data capabilities finding, collecting, analysing and visualising millions of data sources from around the world, to provide actionable financial insight. This data can then be provided to end users, such as retail traders to help them make informed investment decisions.
However valuable big data also resides within financial institutions and if analysed and visualised in the right way, can be even more powerful. This is the other side of Heckyl’s approach; working with clients to harness the data they have internally, sometimes mixing it with the external data we also collect. Read the rest of this entry »
Image Posted on Updated on
What is Greece Debt crisis in laymen terms?
It starts with the government of Greece and their citizens. The government paid out generous pensions and benefits to its pensioners, as well as having an early retirement age for many government employees, as compared to other developed countries. This lead to a drop in productivity coupled with a high unemployment rate, while others believed they were too old to work and took early retirement to access the pension benefits. This lead to the government paying out more in pensions and benefits. However the government never had enough money to sustain the welfare system at this level.
If a country is spending by taking on additional debt, then it also needs to collect equal or more revenue to meet those spending figures.
Any rumor or news can break out from any source. As highlighted in our previous blog post, A Needle in the Digital Haystack, spotting opportunities from these new data sets is very valuable. A trading opportunity can come from any source at any time, which makes it necessary to track a huge number of sources but also filter out noise at the same time.
We are very pleased to announce that SunGard, one of the world’s leading software and technology service companies, has chosen to use Heckyl’s news and sentiment analysis services on their MarketMap terminal. The new content will be available to MarketMap users across North America, Asia and Europe.
Video Posted on Updated on
Heckyl closed the year 2014-15 with a very special event which has happened for the first time in its history. Heckyl has presented (four) 4 of its long-term team members with a sedan /high end hatchback each, on May 22nd, 2015.
Financial Risk management
Broadly risk management consists of identification of the risks and taking suitable actions to counter or control them. Risk management’s objective is to assure uncertainty does not deviate the endeavour from the business goals. Within the details, financial risk management involves using financial instruments to manage exposure to risk, particularly credit risk and market risk. Read the rest of this entry »