Heckyl Seasonality screen unlocks the secrets of commodity trading

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Heckyl Seasonality screen helps you to identify unique opportunities for trading in commodities by bringing out the best insights from the historical patterns.

We studied the directional likeness of 10 completed months of 2017 with the average monthly price trends of the past 5-years to derive at an accuracy score. The accuracy is calculated as


Here we are sharing 4 success stories for this year.

#1. MCX Gold: Accuracy 90%

Gold 1
Image 1: Heckyl Seasonality Screen for MCX Gold

Gold prices followed the seasonality pattern 90% of the time despite geopolitical surprises like North Korea missile test.

#2. NCDEX Mustard Seed: Accuracy 80%

RM Seed 4
Image 2: Heckyl Seasonality Screen for NCDEX Mustard Seed

#3. MCX Natural Gas: Accuracy 70%

Natural Gas 3
Image 3: Heckyl Seasonality Screen for MCX Natural Gas

#4. MCX Crude Oil: Accuracy 10%

Crude Oil 1
Image 4: Heckyl Seasonality Screen for MCX Crude Oil

Crude Oil exhibited the lowest accuracy amongst all commodities. Lower level accuracy suggests crude oil is now moving against its historical seasonality patterns. 2017 is marking a change in trend.

The Bottom-line:

Heckyl’s simple yet powerful Seasonality screen helps in understanding business cycles through unique insights into historical price behavior. A trader can discover hidden pattern within commodities, which can help in predicting future prices.

To know more about Heckyl Commodity Platform, email us at info@heckyl.com

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