Heckyl Credit Risk Early Warning System has identified 50+ companies with a long working capital cycle based on analysis of 1,012 companies’ balance sheet for FY16 and FY17. The longer working capital cycle puts pressure on company’s cash flows and may result in higher short term debt. Hence, long working capital cycle is a red-flag for lenders.
Heckyl system captures company related red-flags based on a variety of business rules. Financial data is one of the important data points in the assessment of credit risk. Heckyl EWS consists of thousands of business rules that analyze the financial data.
Indian banks tend to take on more risks during an upturn in credit growth while non-performing loans (NPLs) of private banks are more reactive to changes in interest rates, according to the recent RBI working paper. The report highlighted a one percent increase in loan growth leads to a 4.3 percent rise in NPLs over total advances (NPL ratio) in the long run.
Post demonetization of higher currency notes, banks have received whopping Rs 12.4 lakh crore in cash deposits. Some portion of these cash deposits is expected to remain with banks, which will improve liquidity in the system. It will enable banks to ease interest rates and boost lending operations.
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We highlighted – via a series of posts on Credit Risk Management (Read the previous blog – “Soaring Non-Performing Assets: The Paramount Problem“) – the ever-growing challenge of credit risk in financial institutions, the benefits of real-time analytics and the way in which Heckyl’s unique capabilities can be used to decipher credit risk management puzzle. We bring to you the third post, from the series.
Heckyl believes there is a lot more that can be done in the credit risk space in the financial institutions. It is no secret anymore that be it the banks or the non-banking financial companies (NBFC), the wrath of the non-performing assets has spared none. Although, these financial institutions have their existing risk models in place, the important question remains, that is, are they able to comprehensively highlight the impending crisis ahead of time? Read the rest of this entry »
We highlight – via a series of posts on Credit Risk Management (Read the previous blog – “Credit Risk – Under The Spotlight“) – the ever-growing challenge of credit risk in financial institutions, the benefits of real-time analytics and the wave of change that can be brought about with Heckyl’s unique capabilities. We bring to you the second post, from the series.
Global financial catastrophes and consequent losses at several banks have compelled risk management systems at banks to get more focused on Credit Risk. The lack of an efficient system in place that can help the banks to efficiently identify the underlying causes of rising NPA figures has begun to reflect negatively on their performance. A high level of bad loans is indicative of a large number of loan defaults that directly affects the profitability and net worth of banks. This in turn necessitates larger provisioning requirements to provide a cushion against loan losses, thus reducing overall profits and shareholders value. While banks have been successful in identifying the need of the hour, they seem unable to exactly place their finger on what will address the problem.
We highlight – via a series of posts on Credit Risk Management (Read the prelude – “Risk Management : How Can we Help You?“) – the ever-growing challenge of credit risk in financial institutions, the benefits of real-time analytics and the wave of change that can be brought about with Heckyl’s unique capabilities. We bring to you the first post, from the series.
Exposure to the probability of default by their debtors, also called as Credit Risk, is the major risk the global banking system is facing today. In the current volatile market condition, where Indian companies are confronted with issues like demand slowdown, unfinished projects set up at inflated costs, lengthening working capital cycle squeezing cash flows, it is not uncommon for an institution to default on payments. This leads to huge non-performing loans sitting on the banks’ balance sheets.