Heckyl Sentiment Index
Heckyl Sentiment Index for Nifty regained strength and moved back into bullish territory, indicating the recent rally in the 50-share index may continue in the near term. The Modi government’s Rs 9-trillion plan to boost economy fueled optimism in the market and has sent the broad based Nifty to a record high level during the past week.
Heckyl has developed a Sentiment Index to track the sentiment around the market based on news development. This index analyses the potential impact of the sentiment on the value of Nifty index. This is done through an analysis of the news flow on the Nifty companies in real-time.
Our back-testing has indicated a strong positive correlation (0.80+), implying that the Heckyl Sentiment Index is an alternative proxy for the 50-share index.
Sentiment Index for Nifty regained strength (Image 1) after the Modi government decided infuse Rs 2.1-trillion as capital in the ailing public sector banks. Moreover, the government’s plan to spend whopping Rs 7-trillion on the road projects also lifted the sentiments.
During the last week, the Nifty moved up 1.70 percent, while the 30-share Sensex surged 2.40 percent.
Equity mutual funds have recorded nearly 4-fold growth in net inflows in the past six months. Net inflows in equity-oriented funds stood at a staggering Rs 76,065 crore for the first half of the financial year 2017, up from Rs 19,829 crore in the same period last year. At the same time, equity funds’ asset under management (AUM) grew 22% over the past six months primarily due to a surge in net inflows.
Heckyl has developed India’s first Sentiment Index for Mutual Funds. Our proprietary Sentiment Index offers a broad reading of collective sentiment through real-time analysis of news flow on the stocks within fund portfolio.
News, which drives the day-to-day movement in the stock prices, can help to predict fund performance. A positive news flow on the stocks within the portfolio could possibly indicate better returns ahead and vice-versa.
Heckyl Sentiment Index can help fund managers to decipher underlying sentiment around fund portfolio. Our Sentiment Index indicates bullish/bearish signals for equity funds based on the crossover of fast and slow moving averages of the daily sentiment index value.
Heckyl has developed a Sentiment Index that analyses the potential impact of the sentiment on the value of Straits Times Index (STI) in real-time.
The Sentiment Index indicates bullish/bearish signals based on the crossover of fast and slow moving averages of the daily sentiment index value. This is done through an analysis of the news flow on the 30-largest public listed companies in real-time.
Our back-testing has indicated a strong positive correlation (0.75+), implying that the Heckyl Sentiment index is an alternative proxy for the Straits Times index.
Currently, Heckyl Sentiment Index for Straits Times index is in mildly bearish territory, indicating the sideways trade may continue.
Heckyl Sentiment index, which reflects a broad reading of collective sentiment for the Nifty companies, has turned mildly bearish for the 50-share index ending 2-month long bullish phase. Media sentiment for the broad-based index was in the bullish territory since the start of earnings season in April this year. The recent rate hike by the US Federal Reserve and selloff in technology shares weighed on the sentiment.
In today’s global economy, stock market bubbles are a part of life. Bubbles now inflate and deflate much more often than in the past. Free flow of money across markets and wider dissemination of information are partly responsible for formation of bubbles. It is created when the surge in asset price is not justified by its fundamentals. It burst with collapse in asset price when market sentiment turns.
Bubbles in the stock market are difficult to spot. So it is important for traders and investors to understand them to avoid being caught in a bubble. By leveraging the vast amount of news on the internet and applying sophisticated analytics, they can get collective sentiment about companies and market.