Heckyl has developed FiND sentiment moving average (MA) strategy for measuring the potential impact of the positive/ negative news flow on the value of equities in real-time. The sentiment MA strategy indicates bullish/bearish signals based on the crossover of fast and slow moving averages of the company’s daily sentiment score.
We back-tested our sentiment MA strategy on 27 companies (excl. banks) from Straits Times index (STI). Our back-testing has proved the potential of sentiment MA strategy to beat STI companies’ stock price performance.
If an investor/a trader was to buy/sell STI stocks as per the bullish/bearish signal and hold the position for the period till the signal reverses, then an equal investment in 27 STI stocks could have yielded 6.3% return over the past 1-year (as against 0.3% price return).
[Image 1: Investment performance based on sentiment signal and stock performance]
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News flow related to growth-oriented business activities of Singapore firms touched the highest level in 2-years in April 2018, according to a study conducted by Heckyl, a leading Fintech engaged in news and financial data analytics. A surge in growth-oriented news flow signals improvement in the business confidence among companies listed in Singapore.
M&A, partnerships, product launch, contracts, and expansion were top 5 categories leading growth news flow for Singapore listed companies in April 2018. At the company level, Singapore Airlines Ltd, IHH Healthcare Bhd, and Comfortdelgro Corp Ltd led the growth news flow during April 2018.
Heckyl has a clear focus on reduction of the information arbitrage by “discovery and analysis” of the news flow in real time. Heckyl’s FiND News and Sentiment Analytics product analyses news + data from thousands of sources (including social media) in real time. Our proprietary tagging algorithm can tag a specific news category to any news based on the keywords in that news item.
[Image 1: Search by Tags screen for Singapore] Read the rest of this entry »
Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), one of the leading automobile companies in India, witnessed a surge in news sentiment to a 5-year high helped by extremely positive media coverage in March 2018. A slew of new product launches by M&M over the past 1-month lifted news sentiment to the highest level in the past 5-years.
With buoyant media coverage, M&M has surpassed news sentiment of both Maruti Suzuki and Tata Motors in March 2018 for the first time in the last 16-months.
[Image 1: Compare screen highlights news sentiment 100-DMA]
A series of positive news items highlighting new product launches, alternative energy and partnerships during the past 1-month pushed M&M’s news sentiment 100-day moving average (DMA) to 84.11 on Apr. 7, 2018. Read the rest of this entry »
Chanda Kochhar, managing director and chief executive officer, ICICI Bank, has been in the news lately after a controversy erupted over a conflict of interest in loan approved to the Videocon Group. There were reports in the media that Chanda Kochhar allegedly favored Videocon Group while granting Rs 3,250 crore loan.
However, ICICI Bank board termed the allegations as “malicious and unfounded” against its MD and CEO and reposed faith and confidence in Chanda Kochhar.
As the name of Chanda Kochhar cropped up in the Videocon loan controversy, news mentions for ICICI Bank chief surged towards the end of March.
Corporate default or bankruptcy do not happen overnight. There is a sequence of events such as layoffs, legal/ regulatory issues and management change leading to default or bankruptcy.
In our view, unstructured data sets such as news is an important piece of information that can detect such a sequence of events prior to default.
Our hypothesis is that deep-dive analytics on news data can capture the pre-default behavior of corporates. At the same time, it can also help banks to identify distress corporate borrowers ahead of time.
To test our hypothesis, we analyzed news data for 12 US-based oil and gas exploration & production companies which went bankrupt in the past 2-years.
Here, we present one such case of SandRidge Energy Inc which filed for bankruptcy protection in May 2016. Read the rest of this entry »