Seasonality and Cyclical Trends
It is quiet intuitive that different seasons of a year impact the demand and availability of agricultural commodities thereby influencing the prices. However, empirical evidence suggests that seasonality plays a big factor in pricing of non-agricultural commodities as well.
Here, we present a case for Natural Gas. Prices of MCX Natural Gas gained in April every year from 2012 to 2016. The year of 2017 was no exception. MCX Natural Gas posted a gain of over 3% in April this year.
[Heckyl’s Seasonality Screen]
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Commodities trading in India has a very rich history. In fact the first organized futures market that was set up in India was for a commodity – Bombay Cotton Trade Association. Since then, trading in commodities has always been the preserve of big traders, commodity powerhouses and institutional investors.
The advent of electronic trading in commodities in India in December 2003 has opened the field for more participation into the markets. However, the commodities segment in India still lags the equities segment in terms of adoption of technology for building advanced and informative trading platforms. Most of the prevalent commodities trading platforms in India still offer only basic features such as buying – selling, watchlist and charts. Read the rest of this entry »