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COVID-19: Developed Countries to Absorb Economic Shock Sooner than Developing Nations

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With a rapid surge in the number of cases and mounting death toll, the coronavirus pandemic is wreaking havoc across the globe. So far, COVID-19 has claimed more than 1,25,000+ lives and has infected over 2 million people in more than 200 countries and territories around the world.

The death toll and the number of people infected by COVID-19 shows that the developed nations are the worst affected compared with the developing countries. The US led the number of casualties from Coronavirus, followed by Italy, Spain, France and the UK. These 5 countries constituted nearly 3/4th of the total number of deaths due to Coronavirus.

The rapid spread of Covid-19 has forced the governments around the world to announce Lockdowns, which has not only impacted the lives of people but also halted the overall global growth. The closure of plants and operations announced by companies from almost all the industries led to a short-term collapse in the global output.

Kristalina Georgieva, Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has recently said that global growth will turn “sharply negative” in 2020, as COVID-19 has disrupted the world’s social and economic order “at lightning speed and on a scale that we have not seen in living memory”.

Though the developing countries have not witnessed major casualties, the economic shock triggered by COVID-19 will have devastating impact on both the formal and informal sectors of the economy.

On the other hand, the developed countries, with their financial might, are better placed to absorb the economic shock compared to the developing economies.

Heckyl’s Analysis of News Sentiment around Economic Indicators has also shown that the Developing Countries are most vulnerable to Economic shock than the Developed Countries.

India, Bangladesh, Indonesia and Philippines have recorded a downtrend in the Economic News Sentiment (200-DMA) after a spike in the number of coronavirus cases in March’2020 and subsequent announcement of Lockdowns.

On the contrary, the US has shown an improvement in its Economic News Sentiment helped by an announcement of Rate Cut and Liquidity Measures by the Fed along with USD 2 Trillion stimulus plan unveiled by the US government to cope up with the impact of the coronavirus crisis.

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China’s Dragon Takes a Breather, Growth Engine Halts

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Chinese economy background
Chinese economy background

After successful triumphs over US and UK in the last decade bears are back in business in 2015 and this time they have laid their eyes on the world’s fastest growing economy China. It has been fueling the global economic growth for past several years and any slowdown will have repercussions not only on world markets but also on major asset classes.

In order to gauge a country’s economic performance, one can look at key economic parameters like Money market (Interest Rate), Economic growth (GDP Growth Rate), Business performance (Industrial Production), Consumer confidence (Retail Sales), Trade analysis (Exports), Housing sector (Newly Built Home Prices), Investment (Capital Flows), Government reserves (Foreign Exchange Reserves) and finally Equity markets (Shanghai). Let us understand how China’s financial and economic indicators are performing in the current scenario.

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The Secret Ingredient to Winning as a Heckyl-ite

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Heckyl closed the year 2014-15 with a very special event which has happened for the first time in its history. Heckyl has presented (four) 4 of its long-term team members with a sedan /high end hatchback each, on May 22nd, 2015.

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